Mosley has the formula to beat Mayweather, says insider
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By Mark Lamport-Stokes
Mayweather, the 4-1 favorite, has an unblemished 40-0 record as a professional with 25 knockouts but Sugar believes the flamboyant 33-year-old will be undone by the bigger and faster Mosley.
"Not only do I think he can win, and obviously I think he will, but I'm a contrarian," Sugar, 73, told Reuters on the eve of the scheduled 12-round bout at the MGM Grand Garden Arena.
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"Not just the one pound on the scale but if you look at the dimensions, particularly in the shoulders and his reach."
Mosley, a world champion in three weight divisions with a career record of 46-5 with 39 knockouts, tipped the scales at 147 pounds on Friday compared to Mayweather's 146.
His reach, at 74 inches, exceeds Mayweather's by two inches.
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Both fighters are renowned for their lightning hand and foot speed, along with sublime boxing skills, but Sugar believes Mosley has formulated a winning recipe.
"I think he knows how you can beat Mayweather, and it's not with his right hand," said Sugar, a cigar-chomping member of the International Boxing Hall of Fame.
"That right hand is a looping right hand and it was made for (Antonio) Margarito but it's a kind of punch that you won't hit Mayweather with."
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PEERLESS Defense
De La Hoya held the upper hand in the early rounds before losing his crown to Mayweather in a split decision.
Mayweather beat Juan Manuel Marquez in his most recent bout in September after a 21-month retirement while Mosley has not fought since a ninth-round upset of Margarito in January 2009.
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"I think the rust factor is going to be more telling on Mayweather," added Sugar, author of numerous sports books and a former publisher and editor of Ring Magazine.
"Yes, Mosley is five years older and I don't know how to count it in boxing years.
"But with a great defensive fighter, and there's no question Mayweather is, any rust factor makes him a nano-second slower in his reflexes so that punches that were once this are now that.
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"I do see where it could have even that much of an effect that it could be fatal (for Mayweather)."
(Editing by Ian Ransom)