McConnell makes grim prediction about Republicans in Senate races, references 'candidate quality'
The Senate Minority Leader implied that he has higher hopes for House races
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Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., thinks that Republicans have a lukewarm chance of flipping the Senate in November, citing "candidate quality" as a factor.
The senator made the honest prediction at the Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce luncheon on Thursday afternoon.
"I think there's probably a greater likelihood the House flips than the Senate," the minority leader anticipated. "Senate races are just different, they're statewide. Candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome."
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"Right now, we have a 50-50 Senate and a 50-50 country, but I think when all is said and done this fall, we’re likely to have an extremely close Senate. Either our side up slightly or their side up slightly," McConnell explained.
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The Kentucky senator — who has led the Republican Party in the U.S. Senate since 2007 — has weathered midterm defeats in the past. The GOP failed to capture a Senate majority in 2010 and 2012 due to candidates like Todd Akin in Missouri and Christine O’Donnell in Delaware.
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It remains to be seen how Senate elections will play out. While Republican J.D. Vance holds a 5-point lead over Democratic opponent Tim Ryan in Ohio, according to a new Emerson College poll, the race remains tight.
The same survey says Ryan is ahead of Vance in favorability, receiving 54% over Vance's 50%.
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Meanwhile, in Pennsylvania, analysts are predicting that Lt. Gov. John Fetterman holds a stronger lead over Republican candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz. Cook Political Report says the Pennsylvania race has shifted from "toss-up" to "lean Democratic."