The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the meaning of a Republican Senate - and What’s Ahead for the House
In US history, there has never been a double flip of the Senate and the House
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}With the Senate flipping to the GOP column, it’s unclear how many Republicans they’ll have. But they could have well over 50 votes. But they won’t have 60 yeas to crack a filibuster.
That could mean a pressure campaign to eliminate the filibuster.
Here’s the other dynamic: Democrats are holding the seats they need to potentially win the House.
Democrats have already flipped one key NY seat in their favor.
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{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}A side-by-side of the U.S. Capitol and former President Donald Trump. (Getty Images/AP Images)
With a GOP Senate and the possibility of a Democratic House, we would be on the precipice of history.
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There has NEVER been a double flip in U.S. history where one body flips in one direction and the other flips in the other.
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., listens to a question from a reporter during a news conference at the U.S. Capitol on May 15, 2024, in Washington, D.C. (Kent Nishimura/Getty Images)
With a Republican Senate, there will be a race now for Majority Leader between Thune, Cornyn, and Rick Scott. That leadership vote is scheduled for next Wednesday.
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And it’s possible that Trump could influence who he wants to lead the GOP in the Senate.
Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump arrives at a campaign rally at Santander Arena, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024, in Reading, Pa. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Also, if Democrats are able to flip the House, the roots of this can be traced back to swapping out Biden for Harris.
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Harris might not win tonight. But had Biden stayed on the ticket, Democrats would have lost 30 seats. Biden bowing out didn’t guarantee that Democrats would win the House. But dropping Biden put the House within striking distance for the Democrats.